Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.971496e-05 3.545253e-05 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076
2025-03-16 2.159194e-05 2.874603e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090
2025-03-23 1.653780e-05 2.432305e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000062 0.000081 0.000104
2025-03-30 1.271108e-05 2.060520e-05 0.000031 0.000045 0.000064 0.000087 0.000116
2025-04-06 9.616594e-06 1.723387e-05 0.000028 0.000043 0.000064 0.000090 0.000125
2025-04-13 6.864685e-06 1.378050e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000062 0.000091 0.000130
2025-04-20 5.218227e-06 1.167174e-05 0.000022 0.000038 0.000062 0.000094 0.000138
2025-04-27 4.153509e-06 1.029626e-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000063 0.000098 0.000148
2025-05-04 3.499440e-06 9.514533e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000066 0.000105 0.000161
2025-05-11 3.296809e-06 9.566651e-06 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000117 0.000181
2025-05-18 2.882723e-06 9.091178e-06 0.000021 0.000042 0.000076 0.000125 0.000196
2025-05-25 2.040225e-06 7.444288e-06 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000124 0.000198
2025-06-01 1.336764e-06 5.990805e-06 0.000017 0.000038 0.000073 0.000127 0.000209
2025-06-08 8.694506e-07 4.894756e-06 0.000015 0.000036 0.000074 0.000132 0.000221
2025-06-15 5.703864e-07 4.095173e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000138 0.000236
2025-06-22 3.451947e-07 3.337558e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000076 0.000143 0.000249
2025-06-29 1.824435e-07 2.607576e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000076 0.000145 0.000259
2025-07-06 7.032679e-08 1.851209e-06 0.000010 0.000030 0.000073 0.000144 0.000263
2025-07-13 2.779436e-08 1.425317e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000147 0.000273
2025-07-20 1.083802e-08 1.164067e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000153 0.000287
2025-07-27 4.591582e-09 1.024638e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000077 0.000161 0.000307
2025-08-03 3.402036e-09 1.047058e-06 0.000008 0.000031 0.000083 0.000176 0.000336
2025-08-10 1.348153e-09 9.600427e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000087 0.000187 0.000359